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Al Qaeda franchisees recruiting and reassembling forces in Africa.

Recent terror attacks in Tunisia, Libya, Kenya and other African countries show that al-Qaeda and its affiliates have a new focus.  They have separate strategies according to the region, they have plans for the Maghreb. al-Qaeda in Libya , Kenya and  Mali.

The strong return of al-Qaeda and its allies to the Sahel region, especially in northern Mali, is a certainty. After the french attacks, al Qaeda reassembled their forces, taking advantage of the security confusion in Libya, such as weapons trafficking. They rearranged their cells and fused them into a single entity- the Mourabitounes Battalion. The Mourabitounes (including Belmokhtar) may try to supplant AQIM in the Sahel-Saharan region, where al-Qaeda lost capabilities and leaders, such as Abou Zeid.

The co-ordination between al-Qaeda in Mali and al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM), is poor in terms of communication. The emirs of the terrorist organizations have independent strategies, according to the region and circumstances.

Al-Qaeda in Libya is not the same as al-Qaeda in Mali, but they are still all franchisees of al Qaeda, which provides of a natural correlation and moral support between all franchisees.

What happened at the mall in Nairobi, militarily speaking, was a form of loosening pressure  on Boko Haramin Nigeria and AQIM.

 

Therefore Al-Qaeda sees regional operations outside its normal ground as an innovative strategy.

Now al Qaeda attracts and recruits younbg people and sympathisers, specially in regions with social, political  and economic instability due to the outcome of the so called Arab Spring.  Al Qaeda profits from conflicts between parties and power seekers. What is happening today in Egypt, Tunisia and Libya is a living example of that.

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